Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✗ (33.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +32 (122-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 35 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 3-8 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Sarunas Jasikevicius * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| David Harrison * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Rush * | 39 | 12-15 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 24 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Sean May * | 22 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Bernard Robinson * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Burleson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter