Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +24 (103-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 34 | 10-22 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 6 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| John Edwards * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Melvin Sanders | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Sean Marks | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter