Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (109-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 43 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 43 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| David West * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar * | 23 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kirk Snyder * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jackson Vroman * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 45 | 7-21 | 0-1 | 11-15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| James Posey * | 34 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 30 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 27 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
* = starter