Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +20 (102-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wesley * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Luther Head * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 37 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 36 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 34 | 12-19 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Delonte West * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dan Dickau * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Reed | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Orien Greene | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter