Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Rush * | 28 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Sean May * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 22 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Bernard Robinson * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Burleson * | 12 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 28 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 27 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 25 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| James Posey * | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Matt Walsh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Earl Barron | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter