Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +15 (110-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 42 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 3-18 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 31 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Melvin Sanders | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sean Marks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 41 | 15-20 | 4-8 | 9-14 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 27 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 34 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 16 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Awvee Storey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter