Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 35 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 33 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 32 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| David Wesley * | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 19 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Luther Head * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 10-23 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter