Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (95-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 40 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 40 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 39 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 11-24 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 13 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 38 | 8-19 | 1-1 | 7-12 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 37 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Sarunas Jasikevicius * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| David Harrison * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Scot Pollard | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter