Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -14 (88-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 33 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 32 | 10-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 25 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Darko Milicic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Maxiell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi Wells * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Thomas | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter