Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 40 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 27 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Ford * | 43 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 38 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 37 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 24 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Charlie Bell | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter