Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 14-29 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 15 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 39 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 33 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Luke Jackson * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 38 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 37 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 25 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 16 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter