Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (34.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +39 (107-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Miles * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Charles Smith * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 21 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 19 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Martell Webster | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Travis Outlaw | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Camby * | 32 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 33 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 29 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Earl Watson | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Linas Kleiza | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter