Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (102-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 38 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 29 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 27 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sarunas Jasikevicius * | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| David Harrison * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 10-13 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 43 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 26 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Earl Barron | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter