Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -19 (78-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 41 | 10-17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Matt Walsh | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Earl Barron | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 40 | 11-23 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 35 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 32 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lawrence Roberts | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Burks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter