Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +10.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +11 (102-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 39 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 34 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 32 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 23 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 27 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter