Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -20 (88-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 28 | 11-14 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 21 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 18 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi Wells * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| James Posey * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 25 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Antonio Burks | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter