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2005-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% +6.8 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (85-83). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Gordon * 25 3-9 2-4 1-1 5 5 0 0 3 9 7 -
Jannero Pargo * 25 8-15 1-2 0-0 2 5 3 0 1 17 11 -
Adrian Griffin * 25 0-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Othella Harrington * 24 5-10 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 0 2 11 11 -
Andres Nocioni * 23 6-13 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 13 5 -
Antonio Davis * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 6 0 -
Chris Duhon * 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 0 2 -
Jared Reiner * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 4 9 -
Kirk Hinrich * 20 3-7 1-2 2-3 1 1 1 0 1 9 4 -
Lawrence Funderburke * 20 3-6 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
Eric Piatkowski 14 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 2 2 0 0 5 9 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Johnson * 40 9-13 2-3 0-2 4 2 2 1 2 20 14 -
Stephen Jackson * 37 5-9 0-1 7-8 5 1 2 0 3 17 13 -
Reggie Miller * 33 3-13 0-2 6-6 7 4 1 0 4 12 7 -
Dale Davis * 32 4-9 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 0 9 12 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 31 8-17 0-0 5-6 9 1 1 1 1 21 15 -
Jeff Foster * 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 0 5 -
James Jones * 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 4 5 -
Fred Jones * 15 0-5 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Eddie Gill * 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Austin Croshere * 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Scot Pollard 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter