Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (101-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ridnour * | 42 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 39 | 7-17 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jerome James * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 26 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 25 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
* = starter