Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (94-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 28 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 22 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 20 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mike Wilks * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sean Marks | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 34 | 12-21 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter