Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -4.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -2 (112-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 12-14 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jumaine Jones * | 43 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 35 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 10-11 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 28 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 21 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Devean George * | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter