Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | +12.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +14 (116-102). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Jacobsen * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Lee Nailon * | 35 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar * | 34 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jackson Vroman * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| JR Smith * | 31 | 9-21 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Maciej Lampe * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| David West * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 28 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 23 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Bryon Russell | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Francisco Elson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter