Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.8% | 23.2% | -6.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -11 (97-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 45 | 10-19 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 42 | 10-16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 40 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 35 | 9-17 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 46 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Devean George * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 20 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tierre Brown * | 8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter