Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -12 (78-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 41 | 14-26 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 25 | - |
| David Wesley * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mike James * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 20 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ridnour * | 43 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 41 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 41 | 7-22 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jerome James * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter