Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +21 (110-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 31 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 29 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| James Posey * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 15 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Antonio Burks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 32 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter