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2005-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 66.8% 33.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.6% 29.4% - โœ“
Margin 61.7% 38.3% -2.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 66.8% 33.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Skinner * 42 4-7 0-0 0-0 16 1 1 3 1 8 21 -
Peja Stojakovic * 42 11-22 6-11 7-7 4 1 4 0 5 35 17 -
Mike Bibby * 40 7-17 1-4 4-6 2 11 3 0 4 19 14 -
Cuttino Mobley * 36 6-17 1-4 5-5 2 3 0 0 2 18 4 -
Corliss Williamson * 34 5-14 0-0 6-9 11 2 0 0 1 16 14 -
Darius Songaila * 18 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 4 0 0 0 7 11 -
Maurice Evans * 15 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Eddie House * 8 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
Kenny Thomas * 5 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 4 6 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ruben Patterson * 41 9-15 0-2 2-10 2 0 2 0 2 20 7 -
Sebastian Telfair * 40 7-12 2-4 5-6 4 6 0 0 1 21 18 -
Shareef Abdur-Rahim * 38 10-20 1-2 2-3 13 1 3 0 5 23 15 -
Joel Przybilla * 33 2-2 0-0 4-6 15 2 1 0 1 8 23 -
Darius Miles * 26 8-15 0-1 7-7 2 6 1 1 2 23 16 -
Damon Stoudamire * 26 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 8 2 0 2 7 14 -
Travis Outlaw * 22 2-3 0-0 5-5 0 0 1 0 2 9 5 -
Viktor Khryapa * 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Seung-Jin Ha 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Richie Frahm 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter