Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (100-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wesley * | 44 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 42 | 11-27 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Mike James * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 42 | 4-19 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 41 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 28 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Devean George * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tierre Brown * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cook | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter