Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +5 (122-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 42 | 18-34 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 21 | - |
| David Wesley * | 40 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 38 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Mike James * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 39 | 11-20 | 3-6 | 15-16 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 40 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 32 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa * | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter