Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -13 (78-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 42 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 37 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 21 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 44 | 6-21 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| David Wesley * | 41 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 40 | 4-15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Mike James * | 27 | 3-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
* = starter