Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +20 (100-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 8-19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 37 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 13 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 48 | 10-23 | 4-8 | 13-13 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 28 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 41 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Lucious Harris * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Robert Traylor | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter