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2005-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% +9.5 โœ“ (7.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 โœ“ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +17 (99-82). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Bibby * 43 7-17 3-6 9-12 4 8 2 0 4 26 19 -
Cuttino Mobley * 40 3-10 0-2 2-2 4 4 1 1 2 8 6 -
Peja Stojakovic * 38 5-14 0-6 5-6 4 3 0 0 2 15 6 -
Kenny Thomas * 37 4-7 0-0 1-1 11 2 1 0 3 9 13 -
Darius Songaila * 27 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 1 3 8 5 -
Corliss Williamson * 26 4-7 0-0 5-6 3 1 1 0 1 13 10 -
Maurice Evans * 15 1-5 0-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Eddie House * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Greg Ostertag * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Erik Daniels 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevin Martin 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richard Hamilton * 40 9-18 0-1 6-7 2 8 0 0 2 24 14 -
Ben Wallace * 38 7-10 0-0 5-6 14 2 3 1 2 19 27 -
Tayshaun Prince * 37 5-12 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 2 11 5 -
Rasheed Wallace * 27 6-12 0-3 2-2 10 1 2 0 0 14 15 -
Lindsey Hunter * 27 4-9 1-3 0-0 4 4 4 0 1 9 11 -
Antonio McDyess * 22 6-7 0-0 1-4 3 2 0 1 0 13 12 -
Chauncey Billups * 20 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 2 2 -
Carlos Delfino * 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 3 2 -
Darvin Ham 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Elden Campbell 3 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -3 -

* = starter