Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +3 (102-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Gugliotta * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 24 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Obinna Ekezie * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jason Collier * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes * | 45 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 39 | 11-17 | 3-7 | 11-13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 22 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 35 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Laron Profit * | 15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Damone Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter