Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -14 (76-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Croshere * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 28 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Gill * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Jones * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| John Edwards | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Fizer * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Reece Gaines | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter