Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +31 (117-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 36 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Lucious Harris * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 37 | 9-14 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 26 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 20 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Pavel Podkolzin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter