Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +16 (111-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Childress * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 26 | 9-20 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Obinna Ekezie * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Donta Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 39 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 32 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 29 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sean Marks * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Linton Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter