Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +17 (103-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Smith * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Dan Dickau * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Lee Nailon * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jackson Vroman * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| George Lynch | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Maciej Lampe | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 29 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 25 | 3-12 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 25 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Pavel Podkolzin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter