Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✗ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -20 (107-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 41 | 16-27 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 26 | - |
| David Wesley * | 38 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 35 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 35 | - |
| Mike James * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo | 9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 41 | 9-23 | 0-0 | 13-16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 40 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 38 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 28 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 26 | 7-11 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter