Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +3 (102-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Duhon * | 41 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Eddy Curry * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Eric Piatkowski | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 42 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 38 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brent Barry | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter