Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (100-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 42 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 42 | 10-17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 37 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ronald Dupree * | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 42 | 13-24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 5-17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 35 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter