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2005-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 58.7% 41.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 โœ“ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +9 (94-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emeka Okafor * 39 6-11 0-0 6-9 8 0 0 1 1 18 15 -
Primoz Brezec * 37 2-10 0-0 4-4 12 3 0 0 1 8 12 -
Brevin Knight * 35 8-16 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 16 8 -
Gerald Wallace * 28 6-8 0-0 1-2 8 2 3 4 4 13 18 -
Keith Bogans * 20 1-6 1-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 -
Jason Hart * 19 3-8 1-2 3-3 2 1 1 0 2 10 4 -
Kareem Rush * 17 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Melvin Ely * 16 4-9 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 9 3 -
Jason Kapono * 13 0-5 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -4 -
Theron Smith * 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Malik Allen * 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Cory Alexander 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Vroman * 36 2-11 0-1 6-8 13 1 3 1 2 10 15 -
P.J. Brown * 36 5-12 0-0 2-2 15 1 0 0 2 12 14 -
Dan Dickau * 29 6-14 4-7 2-2 1 7 0 0 3 18 9 -
JR Smith * 28 5-10 2-6 5-6 2 2 0 0 2 17 9 -
Lee Nailon * 27 6-14 0-1 2-2 8 3 0 1 2 14 10 -
Chris Andersen * 23 4-6 0-0 3-5 8 4 0 1 1 11 17 -
Casey Jacobsen * 20 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 6 1 -
Speedy Claxton * 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 0 1 0 3 -
George Lynch * 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 6 1 -
Bostjan Nachbar 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter