Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.2% | 30.8% | -4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -2 (92-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 38 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 9-14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 18 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 45 | 6-22 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 40 | 10-21 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 39 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Lucious Harris * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Robert Traylor | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter