Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | -5.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -9 (103-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 44 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 31 | 8-15 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 41 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 16 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 39 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Hunter * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter