Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -2 (82-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzen Wright * | 41 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 38 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| James Posey * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 19 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 42 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 11-17 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter