Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.2% | 17.8% | -8.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -4 (96-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 37 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 16 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Greg Buckner | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rodney White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Pope | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 45 | 10-24 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 32 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Obinna Ekezie * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Donta Smith * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jason Collier * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter