Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | +3.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +16 (107-91). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 32 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 27 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa * | 21 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luis Flores | 7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 31 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 27 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 19 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Rodney White | 14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Francisco Elson | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter