Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | -0.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (108-97). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 45 | 11-18 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 42 | 7-17 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 41 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 37 | 5-16 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 38 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 37 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Burks * | 11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
* = starter