Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -19 (84-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 38 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 31 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sean Marks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 38 | 5-17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 37 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jerome James * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter