Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +17 (104-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 41 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 36 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mike James * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff McInnis * | 47 | 6-21 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 44 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 42 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 34 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 13-13 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Lucious Harris * | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter