Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +1 (84-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 44 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 44 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Obinna Ekezie * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 40 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 38 | 10-21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 35 | 9-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
* = starter