๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2005-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 6.6% 93.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% - โœ—
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.1 โœ— (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% - โœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (89-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kirk Hinrich * 39 7-17 2-6 8-9 3 9 2 1 4 24 18 -
Chris Duhon * 35 4-9 2-6 0-0 1 6 1 0 3 10 6 -
Eddy Curry * 34 5-10 0-0 5-6 5 0 1 0 3 15 8 -
Antonio Davis * 33 6-8 0-0 2-2 8 3 2 0 0 14 19 -
Andres Nocioni * 24 5-7 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 1 2 11 9 -
Luol Deng * 24 4-10 0-0 1-2 7 2 2 1 1 9 10 -
Tyson Chandler * 21 3-3 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 1 0 9 14 -
Ben Gordon * 15 2-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 -2 -
Othella Harrington * 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Eric Piatkowski 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richard Hamilton * 38 10-18 1-1 11-12 3 4 2 0 6 32 17 -
Ben Wallace * 37 2-5 0-0 0-0 13 1 2 4 2 4 17 -
Tayshaun Prince * 34 1-8 0-2 3-6 4 0 0 2 3 5 0 -
Rasheed Wallace * 33 6-10 0-0 3-3 8 0 3 0 2 15 14 -
Chauncey Billups * 29 4-11 1-3 4-6 0 4 0 0 2 13 4 -
Antonio McDyess * 26 5-6 0-0 3-4 10 1 1 0 0 13 19 -
Carlos Arroyo * 17 2-7 0-0 1-2 1 5 1 0 1 5 4 -
Ronald Dupree * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Lindsey Hunter * 7 0-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Anthony Goldwire 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Darvin Ham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter