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2005-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 77.6% 22.4% -3.6 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% - โœ“
Margin 66.3% 33.7% -3.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.1% 28.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.6% 41.4% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks -1 (91-92). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tracy McGrady * 44 13-27 5-12 4-5 6 5 1 0 2 35 18 -
Ming Yao * 36 9-14 0-0 4-4 12 0 0 3 3 22 20 -
Bob Sura * 34 3-5 0-0 1-1 5 4 0 0 4 7 7 -
Juwan Howard * 28 3-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
David Wesley * 28 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 0 -
Jon Barry * 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 4 -
Scott Padgett * 21 4-8 2-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 12 7 -
Dikembe Mutombo * 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Rod Strickland * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 0 2 -
Andre Barrett * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Crawford * 44 6-19 2-7 4-4 3 5 0 0 4 18 3 -
Kurt Thomas * 43 4-13 0-0 3-4 13 2 1 4 1 11 17 -
Stephon Marbury * 41 8-17 0-1 4-5 5 4 3 0 2 20 13 -
Nazr Mohammed * 31 4-12 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
Michael Sweetney * 18 5-8 0-0 5-6 8 0 1 0 1 15 15 -
Tim Thomas * 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Trevor Ariza * 13 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 2 1 0 3 4 -
Jamison Brewer * 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 5 0 -
Jerome Williams 25 2-3 0-0 4-4 6 2 1 0 0 8 14 -

* = starter